US stock indexes showed strong growth on Friday amid rising oil prices and positive statistics on retail sales in the country, which rose in January by 0.2%, vs. expected 0.1%. This fact reduces concerns about the weakness of the US economy, which according to preliminary reports increased in Q4 by only 0.7%. Support for the market was the covering of short positions before the weekend. Today, the US holiday. This week, a strong influence on the course of trading will have data on the consumer price index. Our forecast for the coming months remains negative.
Major European stock indexes are now showing a positive dynamics due to the general improvement in investor sentiment on global stock markets after was published positive statistics on retail sales in the US and oil prices started to correct downwards. Today has been published statistics on the trade balance of the euro area, which totaled 21.0 billion euros vs. predicted 22.4 billion euros. Tomorrow will be released inflation data in the UK. Positive for investors today have been positive news from China and growth on the Japanese market. We maintain our medium-term positive outlook for European markets.
Major stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region rose strongly today. Thus, Chinese investors returned to the market after the celebration of the New Year according to the lunar calendar. Support for the region's markets became positive data on China's trade balance, whose surplus rose to 63.3 billion dollars, more than the forecast of 60.6 billion dollars. Weak data on Japan's GDP in the 4th quarter, which declined by 0.4% according to preliminary data and the fall of industry in the country by 1.7% in December, were offset by the positive impact of falling prices and the yen. After strong growth, we can see the resumption of the negative dynamics. Volatility will remain high in the near future.